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NRFI / YRFI Analyzer

Will the 1st inning be scoreless? Our model predicts each game.

How does this work?
NRFI = No Run First Inning. You're betting that neither team scores in the 1st inning.
YRFI = Yes Run First Inning. You're betting that at least one team scores in the 1st inning.

How we calculate it: We look at each starting pitcher's track record — how often do they keep the other team scoreless in the 1st inning? We also look at each offense — how often does this team score in the 1st inning? Combine those numbers and you get the NRFI probability for each game.

Grades: A = strong pick, B = solid, C = coin-flip territory, D/F = lean the other way.
Early Season — Limited Data
The season just started, so most pitchers only have a few games under their belt. Where we don't have enough starts to judge a pitcher, we use the league-wide average (about 70% of 1st innings are scoreless). Predictions will get sharper as more games are played.
Analyzing first innings…

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Probabilities are model estimates based on historical pitcher and team data. Not financial advice.

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